Earth-shaking headline via The Washington Independent:
"Massachusetts Has Become Loseable for Democrats"
The first earthquake was on Tuesday when Rasmussen found that Scott Brown and his Democratic opponent were separated by single digits. Among respondents who said they are sure to vote, Brown and the Democrat were two points apart, well within the margin of statistical error (4.5%).
Liberal Democrats have been trying to shoot the messenger ever since, but today, Public Policy Poling provides an preliminary glimpse at confirmation of Rasmussen's numbers:
- Republican voters are fired up and they're going to turn out.
- At this point a plurality of those planning to turn out oppose the health care bill.
- Scott Brown's favorables are up around 60%. By comparison Bob McDonnell's were at 55% right before his election (he won in VA) and Chris Christie's were only at 43% (he won in NJ).
- The massive enthusiasm gap we saw in Virginia is playing itself out in Massachusetts as well.
- This has become a losable race for Democrats.
PPP* is still crunching the numbers, so we'll have to wait for the details.
*Public Policy Polling supports Democrats.