Thursday, October 29, 2009

Breaking: Hoffman and Owens Tied in Kos Poll

Hoffman Surge!

Hoffman and Owens are tied in the Research 2000/[ultra liberal] Daily Kos poll:

Owens 33 (-2), Hoffman 32 (+9), Scozzafava 21 (-9)

Hoffman gained 9 points in only one week!

Hoffman and Owens (D) are statistically tied, well within the margin of error. Hoffman clearly has the momentum...liberal progressive Dede Scozzafava is in serious trouble.


It is always sensible to treat sponsored, internal surveys with extra skepticism when they are publicly released. Political scientists that have studied public polls find that partisan surveys typically show a an average bias of 2 to 4 percentage points favoring the sponsoring party.

This, of course, means a completely unbiased result would be even better for Conservative Doug Hoffman. Kos is pulling for the liberal progressive in the race, Dede Scozzafava.


Video: 23rd Congressional Debate

In shift, GOP leaders embrace Hoffman

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Bungalow Bill said...

He will keep taking from the Republican.

Soloman said...

In itself, this is great news. If it follows through to a victory Tuesday, it will be somewhat incredible.

If Hoffman wins, the parties - both of them - will have no choice but to recognize the people. What a wonderful day that would be.

A 1-In-100 Blogger said...

Yep, considering it's a liberal progressive poll that has Hoffman and Owens tied, let's hope this is good news for the actual voter turnout!!